Which is the world’s fastest growing religion?
Philip Jenkins, a scholar at Baylor University is trying to come up with
an answer.
Meanwhile, he warns against unsolicited self-proclamations.
Wikipedia, the online encyclopaedia which can be edited by users,
includes the article “Claims to be the fastest-growing religion”.
It
contains a host of statements relating to Islam, Buddhism, Christianity,
Wicca, Deism, Falun Gong, Scientology and other religions.
Each
individual who wrote the statements claims no other religion is growing
as fast as theirs.
Obtaining accurate figures is difficult if not
impossible, since probing into other's souls is inconceivable.
According to Jenkins, however, it is possible to at least try to offer a
rough outline.
At first glance, the answer appears pretty obvious, with Christianity coming out on top.
In the 20th
century, the number of Christians in the world grew exponentially,
particularly in the southern hemisphere.
The World Christian Database,
which is considered a reliable source, reveals that since 1900, the
number of Christians in Africa has grown by 4930% and in Latin America
by 877%. Catholics in Africa during that period went from 1, 9 million
to 130 million: a 6700% increase.
But Jenkins says that before the prize is awarded,
we need to take a look at what was happening in the Islamic faith at
the time. If the figures are seen as a percentage of the world
population, the picture changes quite radically.
Both Christianity and Islam enjoyed a strong
growth during the last century.
But Muslims have altered their figures
more than Christians (who have grown exponentially as a population)
have.
But despite this growth, their quota in relation to the world’s
population remained the same.
In 1900 around a third of the Earth’s
population was Christian and the same is true now.
And things are not likely to change according to Jenkins: in 2050 Christians will make up approximately 30% of the world’s population.
Then there are Islam’s figures: In 1900 the
Prophet’s followers numbered approximately 200-220 million that is about
12-13% of the world’s inhabitants.
Now, the percentage of the Earth’s
Muslims has reached 22, 5%. In 1900, there were 2, 8 Christians for
every Muslim.
Today, the ration of Christians to Muslims is 1, 5:1. In
2050 this ratio will be 1, 3:1. Jenkins affirms that the gap is growing
rapidly in historical terms.
It is also true, however, that while Christians
can point to Africa - a continent which has historically been non
Christian - as a land of development, from a statistical point of view,
the growth of Islam is mainly taking place in the part of the world that
has always been “theirs”.
In 1900 there were approximately 9 million
Muslims living in Egypt.
Today there are 75 million.
Iran has
gone from 10 million to 65 million.
The Muslim population in Indonesia
amounted to approximately 34 million, compared to the 190 million that
lie there today.
The explanation for this is Europe’s slow population
growth during the last century, compared to the rest of the world.
So
the answer to the question “Which religion is growing fastest?” is
Islam; and/or Christianity, but outside Europe.