In what could be one of the most decisive interventions of his
leadership - even before he takes over as Archbishop - the Bishop of
Durham, the Rt Rev Justin Welby, will urge doubters to back the measure
in the name of unity.
The vote at a special session of the
Church's General Synod in London will be the first test of his authority
as chosen successor to Dr Rowan Williams.
Although there is
overwhelming support in the Church for women in the episcopate, the vote
is expected to be on a knife-edge because it would take only a small
number to deny the measure the two thirds majority it needs in all three
parts of the Synod.
But Bishop Welby's vocal endorsement of the
measure last week, moments after being announced as the next Archbishop,
is being seen as a potential "game-changer".
He is understood to
be spending much of this weekend drafting his speech, striking a
balance between saying that it is time for the Church to move on and
offering assurances to those with theological objections to women
bishops that there will be proper "provision" for them.
Coming
from the evangelical wing of the Church, while also an enthusiast for
Roman Catholic forms of worship, he is respected within the very circles
where theological doubts about women in leadership are strongest.
He
said last week that he would "value and learn" from those who could not
support his stance adding: "I want the church to be a place where we
can disagree in love."
An online campaign called "Yes2Women
Bishops" organised by the blogger "Church Mouse" has attracted large
support in recent days.
But the scale of the challenge he faces
was underlined yesterday when the leader of the Roman Catholic Church in
England and Wales, the Archbishop of Westminster Vincent Nichols
underlined his "concern" about what he described as "the very
significant step" the Church of England is about to take.
Close
attention will also focus on the Bishop of London, Richard Chartres, who
is respected by many traditionalist Anglo-Catholics.
He has thus
far attempted to maintain a level of neutrality of the issue by
deliberately declining to ordain women priests while publicly speaking
in support of their ministry.
There is speculation that he might urge opponents to abstain rather than vote against to avoid a split.
Although
Bishop Welby is well known as a supporter of women in the episcopate,
the timing of his elevation, which was delayed by several weeks, coming
on the eve of the vote, could prove decisive.
"No one could have
predicted the timing of that statement which will be ringing in the
Synod's ears in the vote that we are now going on to," said Christina
Rees, a member of the Archbishops' Council.
"It is extraordinary to have an Archbishop designate coming out with such confidence.
"It
just felt that his confidence and his strong support will encourage
some of the Synod members who maybe didn't know the best way forward or
were concerned for some of their friends."
Archbishop Nichols
said yesterday that a vote for women bishops would not "fundamentally
alter" the dialogue and co-operation between the two churches.
But,
in a signal that it could set back moves towards eventually reuniting
the two, he added: "It will create an additional sense of an identity
within the Church of England which is less approximate to the Catholic
tradition.
"The dialogue will continue but this is a very
significant step which the Church of England now stands about to take,
it would seem."